Following a high-speed, rain-delayed race at Chicagoland Speedway, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series continues its pedal to the metal approach at Daytona International Speedway this Saturday night at the Coke Zero Sugar 400.
Alex Bowman earned his first Cup series victory a week and he’s +1800 chances to replicate, however, it is Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski with chances of +700 who top the oddsboard.
Intertops has Logano and Keselowski as the favorites at +700 followed closely by Denny Hamlin at +1000, Kyle Busch, Chase Elliott and Kevin Harvick in +1100 and Kurt Busch, Ryan Blaney and Clint Bowyer at +1400 to round out the leading drivers on the oddsboard.
Ford has won five of the last ten races at Daytona and Toyota has won three runnings over that span, including the last two in a row, while Chevrolet has just two victories.
There has not been a repeat winner in this track since Jimmie Johnson did so from the two races at 2013. Denny Hamlin looks to become the latest driver to perform it as he won the Daytona 500 in February.
Just once over the past 17 races in Daytona has got the winner started on the pole which was Dale Earnhardt Jr. in 2015. The average starting place for the driver who carried the checkered flag during the span was 12.53.
Alex Bowman (+1800) picked up the first checkered flag of his Cup series livelihood a week in Chicagoland and has had great qualifying rate at Daytona recently. He has started first or second in each of the last three runnings in this track, but has completed 10th or worse, therefore until he will find the same rate in the race, I’ll stay away.
Logano (+700) has had better success throughout the Daytona 500 than he has at the midseason race at this course. In the 500, he has an average finish position of 13.28, for example winning in 2015, but he has an average finish position of 21.2 from the July race, and it has dropped in each of the past two runnings.
Keselowski (+700) has experienced a series of bad luck at Daytona recently, with dropped in four of the past five races there, but six races back in this course, he drove to victory lane. He has five wins at Talladega, yet another restrictor-plate track, so that he knows the way to compete in these races. Start looking for him to be in the search Saturday night.
Kyle Busch (+1100) not as a favorite seems to be an automated bet, but Daytona has become the better of him for most of his career. Busch won the July race in 2008, marking the only time he has driven to victory lane at Daytona, and he’s only three top-five endings there over the past 14 races, however he was the most runner-up in this season’s Daytona 500.
I’ve been evaporating Kevin Harvick (+1100) all season long since he had not shown evidence of his former leading self before last week. He looked powerful at Chicagoland, leading 132 of the 267 laps, but ultimately finished 14th. Harvick has crashed in four of the five races at Daytona since switching to Ford at 2017 however he led multiple laps in three of these runnings. Assuming he keeps his nose clean, this could be a fantastic spot for Harvick.
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